Research the predictions yourself to make sure you’re getting your money’s worth. Compare what you have with what they say, since consistency is a good sign. But if there’s a big gap between what they say and what you see, it probably isn’t a good bet.
The predictions are certainly not bad or misleading, but they can be confusing. Many new players end up getting even more confused than before they started reading.
If you asked your friends whether it’s a good idea to rely on sports predictions, they’d probably have mixed feelings. That’s because there are many factors involved in every game. The predictors’ job is to give you their best guesses, but it’s up to the player to consider all other aspects.
The Odds Given
If you thought choosing a team was hard, imagine trying to decide which odds are right. These little numbers govern almost every betting decision. Understanding the odds is an ongoing process for most people, but here are some basic tips to get you started:
When it comes to bookmaker odds, a couple of factors can alter the outcome.
Let’s say you want to bet on the Arsenal-Manchester City game and your advisor predicts a score of 2-1 Manchester. You hop on to a bookmaker and see that they’ve set the spread at -1, even though it’s not much of a spread. Even though your prediction is accurate, you won’t make any money from this bet because you lost by one goal before the game started.
Now, let’s take a look at the odds for a draw. They say 1/3, which means for every three dollars/euro/pounds wagered, you can only expect to win one. Not a very good deal, is it? And that’s the problem – bookmakers know how to make predictions too. They also predicted that most players would bet on Manchester and created a betting line that gave them an advantage over other bookmakers.
Betting on fixed odds is a good way to win more money and have fun. There are no spreads involved, so things are less complicated than in other types of gambling. You can bet on other categories, such as total score and first half, as well as predictions.
Favorite sports of the gambler
Generally, the more components that are involved in something, the more complicated it will be to predict its outcome. That’s true in sports too – the more players involved, the harder it is to predict how things will turn out. But a tennis match is likely more predictable than, say, soccer. You’re right – a soccer prediction is not as reliable as a tennis prediction. But that doesn’t mean a soccer prediction can’t be made using the same formula as a tennis prediction.
Betting on tennis is easier than betting on soccer because there are only two players to analyse. When you bet on soccer, you need to scrutinise twenty-two athletes.
Some sports are more difficult to predict and therefore have a lower accuracy rate. For example, soccer has an accuracy rate of 33%, but a success rate of 50% among all predictions. That means your chances aren’t that bad if you predict soccer accurately most of the time!
If you are not sure how effective your prediction service is, go with the sports that have easier categories to predict such as the NFL or Premier League.
But if you want to overcome the odds, you shouldn’t feel discouraged. The statistics in sports betting can give you a clear picture of how your chances are stacked.
Two teams betting
Most often you see one or two strong teams playing in the final, or a bracket-bottom matchup. While the potential earnings are attractive in these situations, you often want to avoid relying on predictions.
One reason for the wide range of spreads in these games is that spreads are usually small. If both teams have equal chances of winning, any spread is risky.
The Patriots were favored to win the 2017 Super Bowl by 3 points. They had a pretty good streak going, with two touchdowns per game. If you were on the Falcons’ side, how confident would you have been in giving up 3 points?
Betting on the Patriots in the first half, safe bettors were disappointed when New England switched to Atlanta in the second half. As a result, every single one of those bets went wrong. This was all because of predictions – predictions that led to bad outcomes.
It’s difficult to predict evenly matched games, so if you have to bet, go with your gut feeling.
What Amubet suggest to all bettors?
Bookmakers also try to discourage people from betting on the winning team. You might see a line like (-300), meaning that you would have to bet 300 dollars in order to win 100 dollars/euros/pounds. Not much of a deal!
Predictions are usually made to give you an idea of who will win the game and by how much. They rarely take into account the bets that bookmakers make.